The assurance networks application for risk modeling of enterprises’ innovation activity
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Дата
2016
Автори
Kovalenko, Igor
Chernova, Liubava
Заголовок журналу
Журнал ISSN
Назва тому
Видавець
КНУБА
Анотація
An example of modeling risk-contributing factors which introduce uncertainties into the innovative activity of enterprise has been discussed. The simulation method has been developed on the base of the classical theory of probability (probabilistic inference). In order to estimate the interdependent risk-contributing factors we use a simply connected tree-like network of assurance which allows modeling uncertain situations taking into account the stochastic relations which arise among situations. The obtained results of estimation of the network increasing vertices lead to a conclusion on high probability of the satisfactory condition of the innovative product orders portfolio.
Опис
Ключові слова
risk-contributing factors, assurance networks, risk modeling, probabilistic estimate, innovative products
Бібліографічний опис
Kovalenko Igor. The assurance networks application for risk modeling of enterprises’ innovation activity / Igor Kovalenko, Liubava Chernova // Управління розвитком складних систем : зб. наук. праць / Київ. нац. ун-т буд-ва і архітектури ; гол. ред. Лізунов П. П. – Київ : КНУБА, 2016. – № 27. – С. 6 - 10. - Бібліогр. : 6 назв.